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Total mortgagee sales for 2009 reached a new record level with 3,024 registered sale transactions where the sale was a mortgagee sale. This annual total was more than 3 times the number of sales in 2008 and more than double the highest prior year (2002).

NZ mortgagee sales per annum to 2009 Terralink Zoodle

If for ease of assessment these sales were all of properties then they would represent 4.3% of all sales of residential properties sold in the year.

In terms of trends the monthly figures for 2009 show in the chart below a 3 month decline from the peak month of September which attained a level of 343 sales.

NZ monthly mortgagee sales to Dec 2009 Terralink Zoodle

The early months of 2010 will be interesting to observe as the level of listings of mortgagee properties as tracked on realestate.co.nz has been falling for the latter quarter of 2009 and whilst picking up in the January again seems to indicate that the peak certainly in terms of new listings may well be behind us.

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Whilst the number of recorded mortgagee sales slipped in October from the high of 343 in September they still remain historically high. A total of 298 sales were recorded in October taking the year to date figure to 2,465 - for the month this represents a 71% increase on the same month last year.

NZ Mortgagee sales Oct 2009 - Zoodle

The chart above clearly shows not only the significant levels of sales in each of the months of 2009, but also the fact that this time last year marked the beginning of the steep rise in sales of mortgagee properties. This will provide the opportunity in the coming quarter to assess the year on year comparison more accurately.

NZ mortgagee sales - year to Oct Zoodle

The first 10 months of 2009 has seen 2,465 sales - this compares to 964 in the same period of 2008 and just 370 in the first 10 months of 2007 clearly highlighting the significant fall out of the recessionary impact of unemployment and tighter monetary policy and the consequential effect on heavily leveraged investors.

The scale of the rise in mortgagee sales can be best seen in this chart below showing the full history by month since from 2006 when a monthly total of 50 would have seemed high.

NZ Mortgagee sales 2006 to 2009 Zoodle

The make up of the sales in October comprise a mix of single family homes as multiple property portfolios (more than 5 properties owned by a single entity). The impact of the recession is certainly forecasted by Terralink to continue to see high levels of mortgagee sales into 2010.

Whilst sales levels have continued to rise the number of listings of mortgagee properties on the market has begun to stabilise in the current year with the level of interest as measured by the keyword search of mortgagee showing signs of falling in the last 3 months - these statistics are presented in recent posts on the Unconditional blog on the realestate.co.nz website.

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youtube-layar-worlds-first-mobile-augmented-reality-browserWhen it comes to search - the limits of possibility are nowadays limited only by our imagination. This is all thanks to Google who seem to be accelerating the pace of search based tools and applications.

For the real estate industry, map based search has been launched by Google and has created some waves in certain markets internationally.

For property seekers and interested investors - there are emerging tools to look forward to, which should help in the coming year (certainly feasible given technological pace of change!).

Firstly there is Augmented Reality - the ability through mobile applications to create a “heads up display” when you “photograph” a property. The concept is simple in that it stitches together GPS location with compass orientation and then matches it to property data. The company Layer is already seeing their application deployed in Holland on the property website Funda.

Added to this technology is the announcement today by Google of another application from their frenetically paced Google Labs. This is the area of Google responsible for over 200 applications over the past decade as they have deployed their veritable army of technologically advanced engineers to come up with game changing applications.

The latest app is called Google Goggles and using the new Google Android smart phone allows a seamless photo search capability for books, products, places and people (business cards only at this stage, although photo recognition software for people must be just around the corner)!

The key application for property search could emerge through a combination of Google Goggles and / or Augmented Reality as a capability which Zoodle has ambition to offer whereby wherever you are in the country you can point your smart phone at any property and immediately on your screen receive valuable property information.

This information will naturally show basic property information augmented by a suite of information covering CV, valuation, sales history, local sales history, local amenities, some free and some charged for depending on content licenses. To this could naturally be added any details of the property if it is currently being marketed by an agent. As ever the scope is only ever limited by our imagination and the source data.

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Total mortgagee sales in September as reported by Terralink International surpassed the high of 321 set in July of this year to reach 343 in September. This takes the total of mortgagee sales of property to 2,167 for the 9 months of 2009, compared to a total of 790 for the same period in 2008.

Mortgagee sales 2007 2008 2009 Terralink  Zoodle

As can be seen from the chart above on a year on year comparison the scale of mortgagee sales surpasses prior years by a significant margin. The sales for September 2009 represented a 130% increase over September 2008 - a time when mortgagee sales were already on the rise.

Mortgagee sales - Sep 09 Terralink / Zoodle

Total sales for the 9 months of 2009 at 2,167as shown in the graph dwarf the same 9 month period in any of the preceding years.

The key change in the structure of sales is the shift from the sales being predominantly in the major centers to provisional NZ. The chart below shows this with Auckland as a % of sales in September 2009 falling to just over a third of sales as compared to 44% of all sales a year ago.

Regional mortgagee sales Sep 08 and 09 Terralink Zoodle

The key regions which have witnessed the largest increase in sales were Northland going from 3 sales in Sep 2008 to 33 in Sep 2009 and the Hawkes Bay going from 3 sales in Sep 2008 to 24 sales in Sep 2009.

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Farnsworth House in 3D

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The Farnsworth Houseis one of Mies van der Rohe’s finest works. In these 3D renderings Peter Guthrie blurs the line between computer graphics and the real world.

At what point will this technology filter down to the average kitchen designer? Imagine having photo realistic renderings of any work you are planning to do down to the finest detail.

A total of 241 mortgagee sales were recorded in the month of August as reported by Terralink - down from the peak of 321 reported in July. This takes the year-to-date figure to 1,824.

Mortgagee sales to August 2009 - Terralink / Zoodle

When compared to this time last year the monthly total shows an increase of 141% whilst the year-to-date shows a 285% - the year-to-date figure of Jan to August in 2008 was just 641 sales.

The decline from the peak was in someways expected as the lead indicator of mortgagee listings as tracked on realestate.co.nz had been witnessing a stabilising in the stock level of mortgagee listings by real estate agents for a number of months. The number of listings of mortgagee residential properties peaked at just over 400 in the first few months of this year and currently stands at somewhere over 300. It should be noted that the mortgagee sales reported by Terralink do include non-residential sales and this accounts for the overlap of sales to listings as shown in the chart below.

Mortgagee sales and listings to Aug 2009 - Terralink / Zoodle / Realestate.co.nz

The mortgagee property sales not only show large actual numbers but also have risen to levels over the past 18 months that represent a small but significant component of all residential sales. The chart below track the past 14 years and shows the actual sales in each year for the first 8 months of each year represented as the proportion of all residential sales in those periods.

Mortgagee sales as % of all residential sales (Jan - Aug) 1994 to 2009 Terralink / Zoodle

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Terralink - partners in the Zoodle website, have launched a new free website which will be invaluable for the emergency services and ultimately all NZ’ers.

The New Zealand Address Register which is hosted at www.myaddress.co.nz is a simple tool to allow any home owner to verify their property address against the database Terralink holds for all properties across the country, currently amounting to close to 2 million.

Terralink provide the database services to the emergency services which ensure that when call outs occur the relevant services can locate the property speedily and thereby provide support as required. This is fine if your house is 45 North Street - a street that is clearly marked with a road name and the house has clear single dwellings on single sections. However say you live in a subdivided section or on the corner of 2 roads or out in a rural area, these scenarios may result in you having a different street address than is registered or even different for mail delivery.

Terralink’s new service allows you to locate your property and then ‘report’ the added information which you feel will help the emergency services find your property with ease - especially if you normally call your address one name and the postal service calls it another.

Clearly the database update is going to be a great benefit - not only for the emergency services, but also naturally for Zoodle as our service of property information relies on an accurate and comprehensive database of property addresses, something that myaddress.co.nz will greatly enhance.

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The month of September saw Barfoot & Thompson report total sales across the Auckland and Northland region of 917 residential properties. This was 64% increase on the month of September last year and interestingly 36% up on the month in 2007 when the market was entering the recessionary phase.

Seen in context this sales result is strong as it is only 13% down on the month of September 2006 when the market was by any measure very heated.

On a 3 month moving average basis as represented by the chart below the recent sales for the company are strong as measured against the prior 2 years, indicating as the report from Peter Thompson highlights that the spring traditional “bounce” is occurring. The yellow bars in the chart represent the months of September in each of the past 3 years.

Barfoot & Thompson - Sep 2009 sales report

In terms of pricing, the average price fell slightly (3%) from the August figure of $532,023 to the September average of $514,890. This average price is up 4% on September last year and 8% off the peak of the market in December of 2007.

The chart below tracks the past 3 years of average price and year-on-year variance and clearly shows the recent strengthening of prices. A situation that Peter Thompson sees as prices having stopped falling and at the same time not overheating.

Barfoot & Thompson - average sale price Sep 09

The other component of the report was the details of new listings. A reported 1,466 new listings were made by Barfoot & Thompson in the month, up 12% on August. This increase very much reflects the total market picture detailed in the NZ Property Report for September published by realestate.co.nz. The total region  of Auckland had 4,015 new listings added to the realestate.co.nz website in September up 15% on August and up 13% on September 2008.

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Total mortgagee sales for the month of July amounted to a staggering 194% increase over the same month last year. A total of 321 registered mortgagee sales were reported by Terralink in a report issued today for the month of July 2009.

That total for the month takes the year to date figure for 2009 to 1,583. That figure exceeds the total year in the preceding highest year - that being 2001 when in 12 months a total of 1,539 sales were registered.

Mortgagee sales by month 2007/8/9 to July '09 - Terralink / Zoodle

Each month this year the total has outstripped the prior year by more than 100% and completely dwarfs the 2007 year figures.

Mortgagee sales - year to date and full year from 1994 - to Jul 2009 - Zoodle  Terralink

Within the total of 321 sales there are a diversity of properties encompassing property development units as well as private residential and investment residential. The traditional view of mortgagee properties being single family homes where the property is family owned and represents the only owned property only represents around 20% of all the sales of mortgagee properties over recent months, although the rate of sale of these properties have equally been rising over recent months.

In terms of regional variation the majority of sales still are represented in the Auckland region. In July 144 of the 321 sales were in Auckland, 26 in Wellington and just 24 sales were reported in Canterbury. The Canterbury region has seen a decline over recent months with the biggest fall in the Christchurch city area where sales have dropped by half since a the June figures. The map below details the sales by region comparing the totals as against July 2008.

Mortgagee sales by region - Jul 2009 Terralink Zoodle

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Barfoot & Thompson reported their August sales results showing a strong performance with sales of 830 sales and an average sale price of $532,023. Barfoot & Thompson are the largest real estate group to operate in the Auckland market and provide an early indicator to the likely performance for the country at large.

The sales as shown in the chart below have risen from the trough which perpetuated for much of the 12 months to February of this year when average monthly sales hovered around 550. Whilst this does represent a 50% year on year increase at 830 sales - the figure for August 2006 (936) and August 2007 (765) does provide some perspective.

Barfoot & Thompson - Sales to August 2009

In terms of average selling price the tracking of price in the region over the past 3 years shows the significant rise through the final year of inflationary pricing in late 2006 / early 2007 followed by the plateauing through the remainder of 2007 before prices began to fall from the peak of December 2007 when the average price reached $559,804.

Barfoot & Thompson average selling price to August 2009

The current price level of $532,023 represents a 5% fall from peak, somewhat of a recovery from the low point of March of this year when the fall from peak totaled 12%.

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